Techniques for applying Leading or Lagging metrics immediately!
Performance measurement is one of the methods at the heart of
propelling an organization towards breakthrough performance.
This generally takes the form of performance indicators, key
performance indicators, and measurement programs all designed to
focus the attention on various areas of performance.
Within the Maintenance Scorecard, MSC, the approach taken is to
create metrics based on desired performance levels, rather than
employing some form of measurement by pick-list approach to
building a metrics program.
The
old adage is “if you can measure it you can manage it”. The
Maintenance Scorecard takes a slight turn from this. Before you
think about how to measure it, fist work out what it is you want
to manage!
Regardless of the approach taken, at some stage the organization
finds itself considering some of the advanced techniques within
performance measurement. These include strategic theme key
performance indicators, leading and lagging indicators, opposing
indicators, risk-based indicators, and modern display
techniques.
Within this short article I am going to try to clarify how
Leading and Lagging indicators are treated within the
Maintenance Scorecard, and how they can add immediate value to
your companies’ performance management efforts.
What exactly are Leading and Lagging Indicators?
It
pays to remember that we are talking about measuring and
managing performance within this area of the discipline. So we
need to directly relate these titles back to the measurement of
performance.
Quite simply leading indicators lead performance, and Lagging
indicators lag performance. In other words, one tells you where
the performance of your assets, teams, processes, or other
resource, is going to, and allows you to act in a proactive
manner. While the other tells you where it has been, and allows
you to take reactive action!
At
first glance this seems counter-intuitive doesn’t it. How can we
measure things that have happened, and think we are going to be
able to predict future performance levels? The trick is to fully
understand the processes you have in place, and how that fits
into the rest of your day-to-day management of the physical
asset base.
Some examples of Leading Indicators
So,
Leading indicators allow you to take action proactively. So to
truly be a leading indicator they need to predict, or provide
some indication, of future performance levels and/or issues.
For
example:
most work order systems are managed through some form of
priority rating of the corrective, or reactive, work orders in
progress. This rating is often related to time and is used to
determine how soon after creation the work order should be done.
It
is used in capacity scheduling, ad-hoc work order execution and
a range of other business processes that have to do with work
management. The basis of this process is a link to time. This is
done, normally, using a combination of the consequences of the
failure mode if it is left unattended to, and the importance of
the equipment to the company.
Within this process a performance indicator, or report, would be
the Age vs. Priority Report. This report displays the number of
work orders, in their respective priority groupings, that have
not been completed on time. Some of these also display how late
the work order is.
Figure 1: Age versus priority example
The
graph in figure 1 clearly shows that a number of Priority1 work
orders are between 5 days and 1 week late. In this case we don’t
know what the time horizon is for Priority 1 work orders. But it
is probably less than one week! If you look at the 3-week mark
on this graph one or two have made it out this far. Not good!
So,
what is this telling us? It really depends on the underlying
work order prioritization method being used. But basically it is
indicating that we are faced with a higher level of risk than
our system is supposed to manage. This probably means that
something is about to fall apart within the very near future.
This metric, as with any other, should be produced in such a way
as to be able to drill down into the data that produced it. This
would take us to the late work orders, the equipment they were
raised on, the failure mode, or potential failure, that has
triggered them and possibly even the consequences of them going
horribly wrong.
This is the essence of leading indicators; they tell you where
performance is likely to go. Things aren’t bad in the priority
example yet, but it looks like they soon will be! If used
correctly leading work orders can add a proactive element to
what is normally a reactive activity.
Leading performance indicators are few; the best proactive
measures come from a specific need within a specific company,
rather than selecting from a range of “off-the-shelf” measures.
Schedule compliance (Yup, that one) is a good example of another
leading indicator. (But with a twist) Normally this metric is
used to evaluate how the scheduling and execution functions are
working together, how the workload is being managed, and as an
indicator to how much unexpected work occurred and pushed it
out.
For
instance: from RCM we learned that an On-condition task is
scheduled to occur at a frequency less than the P-F Interval. I
won’t go into why as that is a whole different area, but for the
sake of this article we will take this as the principle.
Therefore there is only a limited timeframe for the on-condition
or predictive task to be carried out. If the P-F Interval is 4
weeks, the frequency of inspection is, say, two weeks, and the
actual inspection frequency is 6 weeks. Then we can see
immediately that we are only going to predict this failure mode
occurring by dumb luck!
Once is okay, we can react to that, but if the task is regularly
done at periods longer than the P-F interval then the most
likely outcome is that we will have an unpredicted failure on a
failure mode that our analysis told us needed to be predicted.
Again, the underlying concept is a deep understanding of what it
is that your processes and regimes are trying to accomplish, and
the effects of these on other areas of performance. And again a
standard metric can be used to give a vastly different
viewpoint.
Some examples of lagging indicators
Lagging indicators are just about all of the rest. These are
indicators that tell you when something has gone wrong or is in
the process of going wrong. MTBF, Availability, Planned versus
reactive ratios (if these are still used) are all examples of
lagging indicators.
Although we have spent most of this paper on leading metrics,
that these are also very important. Without lagging indicators
we have no idea of the impact, good or bad, of the work we are
doing on a daily basis, or of the improvement initiatives, or of
recent modifications and so on.
I
hope this has cleared up some issues regarding leading and
lagging measurement of performance in asset management. The
intention of this article was to enable you to apply these
principles to your workplace immediately, so if you do, or if
you can see how they would be applied. Please send me an email
and let me know!
Added value bit
If
you are interested in receiving a short article containing 7
power tips for achieving breakthrough performance in asset
management please send me an email to
darylm@strategic-advantages.com,
hopefully with some feedback on this article, and I will send
them to you immediately!
Daryl Mather is an international consultant and author in asset
management, reliability and risk. He currently works in the
United Kingdom where he assists selected organizations to
achieve breakthrough performance from their physical asset base.
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