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Beware of
phantom savings
by Joel Levitt, President,
Springfield Resources
There are real
cost savings and there are phantom savings. Real cost savings
flow to the accounting system and appear on the books. Phantom
savings appear on reports and never can be tracked to the
accounting books.
Some examples of
Real savings (not all real savings appear on maintenance budget)
-
Reductions in
payroll (personnel)
-
Non-replacement of personnel because we don’t need them
-
Reduction to
overtime
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Reduction to
billing from contractors
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Reductions to
material used
-
Reductions to
inventory on shelf
-
Reduced
expenditures for tools and equipment
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Reduced
equipment rental bills
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Reduced
demurrage (rental of tanks, rail cars, ships)
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Reduction to
regulatory fines
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Closing a
satellite operation and reduction of overhead
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Reduction of
energy usage (large enough to be read)
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Reduced raw
material usage
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Reduced number
of production machines due to increased uptime
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Reduced
operator personnel needed
Phantom savings
-
Reduction of
labor without realizing any savings
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Small
reductions to energy usage
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Small
reduction to production machine usage
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Reduced
compressor usage due to leaks being fixed (unless you can
prove electricity savings)
For example let’s
consider a PM that takes 3 hours a month and does not use
materials. We decide the PM is too frequent and we reduce the
frequency from monthly to quarterly. And let’s agree there was
no increase in breakdowns or adverse events. Calculations show
we “saved” 24 hours a year. Where did the savings go? We say
that the time is now available for other valuable maintenance
activity. This is phantom savings.
If we sent home a
contractor 3 days a year as a result of this PM frequency
improvement then the phantom savings would be realized
(translated into real savings). If we could decrease overtime
then the savings would be realized. Or if the PM used a $25 belt
each month and we dropped the usage from 12 to 4 a year we could
show real savings of $200.
We act as if the
real and phantom savings are the same. They are not the same and
should be presented separately. Hard numbers people are
extremely suspicious of phantom savings. In the real world they
never realize those savings. Phantom savings are nice to have
but not like money in the bank.
This is not to say
that phantom savings are not important, they are. Phantom
savings can really be used for important work it’s just that the
Return on Investment will show up as a result of the work we
actually do and not from the savings activity. It’s also a guide
or a pointer to real savings.
The situation of
phantom savings could very well be worse then just no savings
shows up on the books. Consider the impact of a major effort
toward planning and scheduling the maintenance effort.
Conservative estimates show productivity could improve by 25%.
Now most places
don’t implement Planning and scheduling and then layoff 25% of
their people. Most places have excessive identified work
(backlog) and use the gain in productivity to accelerate the
speed with which they work their way through the backlogged
jobs.
Each job takes a
shorter time (on the time clock). Materials, tools, permissions,
drawings are available when the job starts. More jobs run
smoothly. Without a layoff or reduction to overtime there no
savings in maintenance costs. To makes matters worse those
additional jobs will consume materials. The up tic in material
usage will be real (not phantom). Improving productivity might
adversely impact the maintenance materials budget.
Usually there are
additional jobs added that didn’t make it to backlog originally
because no one had confidence that the job would ever get done
(it seems particularly infrastructure jobs). Eventually when the
backlog is reduced to a manageable level the whole plant will
run better. Fewer corrective jobs will breakdown waiting for
maintenance to get there.
Thanks for
reading- Joel
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