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Tools to Focus on Plant Reliability (page 2)
LIFE DATA ANALYSIS

Wallodi Weibull invented the Weibull distribution in 1937 while comparing death rates in different population groups.

β<1 (steep fall)   β=1 (flat)     β>1 (steep rise)

Burn in Design Life     Wear out

Figure No 1  Weibull wear-out life curve

It is now one of the most commonly used methods for fitting equipment life data and has been used extensively in the aviation industry.  The essence of Weibull’s work was to discover he could represent the Bathtub Curve of Figure No. 1 using one mathematical formula. The three zones of the bathtub curve can be represented using Weibull parameters beta (shape parameter), eta (life) and gamma (location).

Understanding the Weibull shape parameters provides the owners, users and maintainers of equipment with a tool to predict the behavior of engineering components and select effective maintenance strategies.

β<1 implies infant mortality. Electronic and mechanical components often have high failure rates initially. Some components are ‘burnt in’ prior to use, others require careful commissioning after installation.

β=1 implies random failures. These failures are independent of time where an old part is as good as a new part. Maintenance overhauls are not appropriate. Condition monitoring and inspection are strategies used to detect the onset of failure, and reduce the consequences of failure. 

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